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Yield Curve Inversion and Macroeconomic Indicators: Crisis or Opportunity?
Today, let's examine the yield curve inversion, one of the key indicators of the U.S. economy, and its correlation with various...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Sep 3, 20244 min read
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Recent Trends and Implications of Short-term and Long-term US Inflation Expectations
1. Inflation Expectations Inflation expectations play a crucial role in understanding the current economic situation and predicting...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 20, 20243 min read
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Decoding America's Economic Pulse: A Deep Dive into Inflation, Consumer Sentiment, and Spending Patterns
Two-thirds of the U.S. GDP is comprised of household consumption. To comprehensively understand the U.S. economic situation, it's crucial...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 12, 20243 min read
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Long-term Investment Strategy for U.S. Treasury ETFs: Opportunities in the Rate Cut Era
Considering recent economic trends and Federal Reserve movements, the anticipated federal funds rate cut starting this September could...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 11, 20242 min read
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Hidden Patterns in the U.S. Housing Market: Policy Rates, Mortgages Rates, and ETFs
The U.S. housing market is closely tied to various economic indicators. Among these, changes in U.S. monetary policy have a significant...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 8, 20243 min read
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Global Financial Markets Shaken by Yen Carry Trade Unwinding: Analyzing Key Indices and Trends
Earlier this week, a sudden surge in the yen caused the unwinding of yen carry trades, shaking global financial markets. Yen carry trade...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 7, 20242 min read
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Black Gold Surprise: America's Energy Dominance and Middle East Policy
Question: Who is the world's top oil producer today? While most might think it's Saudi Arabia, the surprising answer is the United...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 6, 20242 min read
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Global Market Turmoil: The Perfect Storm of Yen, Tech, and Jobs
The storm that hit global markets last Friday has continued into Monday. The sell-off that began in Asia has spread to the U.S. markets...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 5, 20243 min read
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Middle East on the Brink: A Tug of War Between Escalation Risks and Deterring Factors
Tensions between Israel and Iran are escalating, while ceasefire negotiations in Gaza have reached an impasse. This situation risks...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 4, 20242 min read
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The Utility Sector in the AI Era: New Opportunities for Growth
The recent AI infrastructure investment frenzy by Big Tech companies is breathing new life into the utilities sector. Traditionally...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 4, 20242 min read
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Silicon Valley's AI Gamble: Big Tech's Trillion-Dollar Bet vs. Wall Street's Skepticism
Recently, Wall Street's view of Big Tech has been turning skeptical. However, Big Tech companies are maintaining their plans for enormous...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 3, 20244 min read
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Yen's New Direction: How Japan's Interest Rate U-Turn is Shaking Global Markets
Changes in the Bank of Japan's Interest Rate Policy and Its Impact The Bank of Japan has recently raised its benchmark interest rate...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Aug 3, 20242 min read
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Political Economy of Global Oil Prices: Who Moves the Prices?
Now that the beginning of the year has arrived, let's take a closer look at the trends in oil prices. Below is a chart of the past 5...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Jan 1, 20243 min read
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새해 첫날 짚어보는 미 경제 주요 지표들
11월 중국의 Retail Sales는 침체를 못 면하고 있으나, 이와 반대로 미국의 Retail Sales는 견고한 성장을 보여주었다. 지난 금요일 발표된 11월 PCE(Personal Consumption Expenditure) Price...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Dec 31, 20231 min read
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Japanese Yen- 본격 반등의 서막인가
현재 일본 엔화가 반등하는 추세를 보이고 있다. 11월 중순에는 달러 대비 151엔을 돌파하며 최고점(달러 대비 엔화 최저점)을 기록하였고, 이후 4주 연속 하락세를 보이고 있다. 특히 주목할 점은, 10년 만기 미국 국채 수익률과 일본 국채...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Dec 10, 20231 min read
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중국 위안화 강세 (Sept 28, 2020)
중국 위안화 강세가 지속되고 있다. 지난 6월말/7월초 달러당 7.1 위안 수준으로 저점을 찍고 상승하여 현재 6.8위안 수준을 보이고 있다. 이번 3분기에 약 3.7% 상승하며, 2008년 이후 가장 높은 큰 상승세를 보이고 있다. 원인은 크게...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Sep 30, 20201 min read
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올해 미 증시 IPO 역대 최대 예상 (Sept 27, 2020)
올해 미 증시에 신규 상장 (IPO) 금액이 근래들어 최대를 기록할 것으로 예상된다. 올해 3개월 남은 9월말 현재, 미 증시에서 IPO를 통한 공모 금액은 약 $95B (950억 달러)에 달한다 (Source: Dealogic). 9월까지만...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Sep 30, 20201 min read
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유로존 Deflation과 유로화 강세 (Sept 20, 2020)
유로존 Headline inflation이 2016년 이후 처음으로 (-) 마이너스를 기록했다. 지난 8월 Eurozone 인플레이션이 -0.2%로 나타나 전달 0.4%에서 마이너스 반전했다. Lagarde, ECB 의장은 ‘당분간 상황은 더...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Sep 20, 20202 min read
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Softbank의 옵션 투자 및 미 증시 동향 (Sept 13, 2020)
Softbank는 최근 FT 등의 보도로 막대한 규모의 미 기술주 콜옵션 투자 사실이 알려지면서 주가 하락 및 주주들의 해명 요구에 직면하면서 안팎으로 곤란을 겪고 있다. 그런데, Bloomberg의 보도에 따르면, Softbank 경영진은...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Sep 13, 20202 min read
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Nikola, Short Seller의 공격: "잘 짜여진 사기?" (Sept 10,2020)
Nikola가 “복잡한 사기 (Intricate Fraud)”에 지나지 않는다는 Short Seller의 공격을 받았다. 마켓 리서치 업체이자 헤지 펀드인 Hindenburg Research는 미국 시간으로 오늘 오전장 개장 전, Nikola가...
Justin Jungwoo Lee
Sep 10, 20202 min read
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